By 2050, the United States will look like Florida, with more old people taking advantage of senior-citizen discounts and enjoying early-bird suppers. The population is aging, and as the politicians debate raising the retirement age, the data confirm the belief embraced by baby boomers that 50 is the new 40, and 60 the new 50. [...]
Gallup is noted for its “generic” congressional ballot which it says has historically been a good predictor of outcomes in the battle for the House. Now that it is so close to Election Day, the pollster has moved to a model that samples likely voters — those most motivated to turn out — as opposed [...]
Helped by the Democrat’s dominance in California and negative views of their opponents, Jerry Brown holds a smaller lead over Republican Meg Whitman in the governor’s race and Barbara Boxer has built a somewhat larger margin over the GOP’s Carly Fiorina in her bid for a fourth Senate term, according to a USC/Los Angeles Times [...]
Republican Gov. Rick Perry leads Democratic challenger Bill White, the former mayor of Houston, by 46 percent to 39 percent with 5 percent for other candidates and 8 percent undecided, according to a Dallas Morning News poll conducted Sept. 15-22. (Poll, story). While on paper the race looks competitive, most voters appear to have their [...]
Heading into the midterm elections in November, both major parties have a big advantage over the other. For Republicans, it’s passion. For Democrats, it’s purse strings. The GOP enjoys an energized base of supporters, evidenced by surging turnout in primary contests and a spanking new, if highly unpredictable, political movement within its ranks in the [...]
The advantages of incumbency are clear — usually greater name recognition and stronger fundraising than challengers — so it isn’t a big surprise that the re-election rate for sitting House members has ranged from between 90 percent to 98 percent since 1994. But this year, nine congressional challengers have managed to out-raise the incumbents they [...]
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